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8.3 Phoenix Algorithm and Stress Testing

Phoenix Restart Trigger Algorithm

Multi-factor Trigger Model

The trigger conditions for Phoenix restart adopt a weighted composite indicator:

Phoenix_trigger = w₁ · Liquidity_risk + w₂ · Growth_decline + w₃ · Network_health

Where each indicator is defined as:

Liquidity Risk: Liquidity_risk = max(0, 1 - P(t) / ΣFuture_obligations)

Growth Decline: Growth_decline = max(0, 1 - N(t) / N(t-30))

Network Health: Network_health = 1 - Active_nodes / Total_nodes

Value Inheritance Algorithm

Value distribution algorithm during restart:

algorithm PhoenixRestart:
    input: remaining_pool, last_participant
    
    // Identify cycle bridger
    bridge_participant = identify_last_dimension_4_participant()
    
    // Value distribution
    bridge_reward = remaining_pool * 0.10
    continuity_pool = remaining_pool * 0.90
    
    // Fund allocation
    transfer(bridge_participant, bridge_reward)
    transfer(continuity_reward_pool, continuity_pool)
    
    // Reset system parameters
    reset_system_parameters()
    
    return new_cycle_initialized

Stress Testing Scenario Analysis

Extreme Market Condition Modeling

Scenario One: Large-scale Withdrawal Pressure

Assumed Conditions: 50% of participants simultaneously choose the shortest cycle (first dimension) New user growth stagnates (λ=0)

Mathematical Model:

P(t) = P₀ - 0.5N · D₁ · (1 + R₁) · H(t - T₁)

Analysis Results:

  • System faces maximum pressure on day 1
  • Phoenix restart mechanism activates before pressure peak
  • Value inheritance ensures core participant rights

Scenario Two: Network Effect Collapse

Assumed Conditions: Large-scale fracture of regional consensus network Prosperity node activity decreases by 80%

Impact Model:

Network_effect = Network_base · (0.2 + 0.8 · e^(-λt))

System Response:

  • Automatically reduce resonance amplification rate to maintain stability
  • Prosperity node reward pool provides additional incentives
  • Network effect naturally recovers after 6-8 weeks

Stress Test Results Quantification

Benchmark Test Results:

Pressure ScenarioMaximum Pressure PointRecovery TimeValue Preservation RateResilience Score
Large-scale WithdrawalDay 13-7 days85%0.85
Network CollapseDay 146-8 weeks78%0.65

Monte Carlo Simulation Verification

Random Parameter Setting

Using Monte Carlo method to verify system performance under random conditions:

Participant Arrival: Poisson process, λ~ N(50,10)/day Dimension Selection: Multinomial distribution, weights change over time External Shocks: Low-frequency high-intensity events, probability 0.1%/day

Simulation Result Statistics

Running 100,000 independent simulations, time span 2 years:

Statistical IndicatorAverageStandard Deviation95% Confidence Interval
System Survival Time418 days35 days[395, 455]
Phoenix Restarts0.9 times0.7 times[0, 2]
Participant Satisfaction0.780.12[0.58, 0.95]

Conclusion: Simulation results show that the Utopia system can maintain good stability under various random conditions.